Nifty likely to break out of 5400-5600 range

The June series has seen Nifty trading in a tight range of 5400-5600 in the first two weeks. A lack of directional move has caused IVs (implied volatilities) to remain low. However, all this may change quickly in the coming trading sessions, as advance tax numbers and the RBI Monetary Policy with a fragile global environment backdrop may cause the Nifty to move out of this trading range.

Technically, Nifty is currently seen in a corrective phase and is retracing its upmove from 5328-5600 levels. Strong support for this corrective move is placed in the 5400-5430 region. Once this corrective move is over, we may expect the index to retest the 5600 mark. Only a close above the 5600 mark, backed with strong volumes, will warrant a revision of target upwards to 5700-5730 levels. The bullish bias will be negated if the Nifty breaks below 5400 level. Options build-up in Nifty suggests a slightly negative undertone, with OTM put strikes of 5000-5200, which has a substantial build up of over five million shares each, showing no signs of closure. A part of the positions can be explained by hedging of long positions by positional players, but even after adjusting for the same, the OI in the OTM Put options still remains elevated.

Domestic news flows are negative with the latest WPI inflation figure coming at 9.1 versus 8.7 for April 2011. With the impending advance tax numbers and monetary policy announcement in the coming two trading sessions, any negative announcements can push Nifty to test its important support levels. Globally, the scenario remains fragile with the US market near its March lows, Greece sovereign debt crises still at elevated levels and China raising its cash reserve ratio by half a percentage point to tame inflation.

Sectorally, the pharma space, despite the widespread volatility in the recent market movement, has remained resilient. The first leg of the rally has seen strong participation from large-cap pharma stocks like Ranbaxy, Sun Pharma and Cipla. The second leg of this rally may involve larger participation from the mid-cap pharma stocks like Biocon, Natco Pharma and Glenmark Pharma . In the banking space, a directional move is expected only post the RBI Monetary Policy announcement. The metal space has remained weak and has added fresh shorts. Stocks like Tata Steel and Hindalco have seen fresh shorts in the 580 call and 190 call strikes, respectively. Reliance 900 put has the highest OI and the stock is likely to find support at this level. Considering, the upcoming events we expect Nifty to display a directional move on the back of increased IVs in the next few trading sessions.

(The author is Vice-president-Active Trader Service, ICICI Securities)

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How to Investment Stock Market Safetly

from wikiHow - The How to Manual That You Can Edit
What must I do now in investment in stock market? This is the question probably every equity investor would have asked himself before made investment in stock market for many times. Here is the solution for the questions.

Steps

1. • What must I do now in investment in stock market?
2. This is the question probably every equity investor would have asked himself before made investment in stock market for many times. Here is the solution for the questions.
3. With the stock market moving to dizzying heights before succumbing to gravity, it's easy to get nervous or over-excited.
4. Here's what we suggest you do when the bulls and bears kick up a lot of dust.
5. What you must NOTdo
6. Don't be panic
7. The market is volatile. Accept that. It will keep fluctuating. Don't panic.If the prices of your shares have plummeted, there is no reason to want to get rid of them in a hurry. Stay invested if nothing fundamental about your company has changed.
8. Don't invest huge amount in stocks:
9. when the market goes down don’t be panic just begin buy some stocks. But don’t invest a huge amount in equity alone just try to split you investments in other sectors in stock market such as future market, option market as well as nifty sector. Keep some money aside and zero in on a few companies you believe in.
10. When the market dips keep buy the shares. When the market dips again, you can pick up some more. Keep buying the shares periodically.
11. Everyone knows that they should buy when the market nifty level has been reached its lowest and sell the shares when the market nifty peaks. But the fact remains, no one can time the market.
12. It is impossible for an individual to state when the share in the stock market price has reached rock bottom. Instead of buying the shares over a period of time; this way, you will average your costs and you would keep your cash safer. Pick a few stocks and invest in them gradually. Made investment in different area of the stock market like stock option, stock future, equity, nifty option, nifty future and cash. So this might safeguard your cash and can make on average when you have been made a loss.
13. Don't chase stock performance
14. The stock option, nifty future as well as option does not become a good buy simply because its price has been rising phenomenally. Once investors start selling, the price will drop drastically. Track the performance of each sector say it is whether in cash or option as well as the futures in which you have been made invested and will take periodical data. So that your might gain the knowledge about the stock market trends.
15. Don't ignore expenses
16. When you buy and sell shares, you will have to pay a brokerage fee and a Securities Transaction Tax. This could nip into your profits specially if you are selling for small gains (where the price of stock has risen by a few rupees). If you sell your shares of equity funds within a year of buying, you end up paying a short-term capital gains tax of 10% on your profit. If you sell after a year, you pay no tax (long-term capital gains tax is nil).
17. What you MUST do
18. Get the help of an stock advisor
19. From the above content some might think that investment in the stock market might be risk. But the true fact the trading experience will become easy when we find the right analysts for our guidelines for investing in share as well as choosing correct sector which suits us. For instance to investment in the stock futures is more risk than for cash. And more over investment in some sector needs more investment like nifty option, call options, put options etc.
20. So to be a successful trader in the stock market choosing the right share analysts will be the half of the portion completed.
21. 2. choosing the stock advisor
22. To be frank no one can ensure 100% profit in the stock market so the stock trader has to be keep in mind that their need. At general every one expects the stock analysts fees should be affordable as well as quality based service. More people will expect that stock analysts should be reliable to them. So the procedure to chose the analysts is bit simple a company which has to reliable to us, who should affordable to pay, who can be contact at any time, whose service should be quality
23. Golden nifty technologies are the one of the analysts which provides all the needs of the trader and works for the improvement of the trader.
24. Golden nifty technologies provides share recommendations on various sectors in the stock market such as Nifty tips, Stocks tips Cash tips (equity tips) and future tips , nifty futures tips, nifty option tips, stock option tips traded in NSE stock market.
25. Diversify
26. Don't just buy stocks in one sector. Make sure you are invested in stocks of various sectors. Also, when you look at your total equity investments, just divide your investment in other sectors as like stocks, nifty futures, nifty options, stock options etc.
27. To balance your equity investments, put a portion of your investments in fixed income instruments like the Public Provident Fund, post office deposits, bonds and National Savings Certificates.
28. Believe in your investment
29. don’t be panic when the market has been changes it’s trends. In many tips provider company won’ t guide their clients when the market has been revert but golden nifty team will supports you and guide you by giving follow up calls even when the market change it’s trends you can make margin by less amount of loss by our stoploss calls.
30. BELIEVE YOUR INVESTMENT BELIEVE US YOUR SUCCESS TRADE STARTS HERE!!!!
31. Stick to your strategy
32. the tips provide by us will be in 3 target level in which you can choose your own strategy if you are a safe trader then exit in the first target itself, or else if want to take risk you can trade at your own risk in the third target

Tips

• what to do to investment in stock market, stock market, share market, investment in stock market safetly

Article provided by wikiHow, a wiki how-to manual. Please edit this article and find author credits at the original wikiHow article on How to Investment Stock Market Safetly. All content on wikiHow can be shared under a Creative Commons license.

TILL DATE PROFIT RS.15,570/- IN GOLDEN FUTURE

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We guide customer to become a successful trader in the market with affordable cost of service. We offer tips through SMS and also clarify your valuable doubts during market hours. We offer customer service through various modes like live chat, messenger support as well as through phone calls. So the customer can ask their doubts in any modes during in market hours.

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Nifty may trade in 5300-5700 range

The Nifty is trading in a small range of 5400 - 5600, witnesses the low trading activity in the F&O segment. This is due to no clear conviction to the traders, either from global or local front and huge macro data inflows. If we observe the Nifty future data on daily closing basis, it can easily conclude that the positions are switching very fast from long to short and vice a versa which itself indicates the low volume.

If we see the options data, continues accumulation has been witnessed in 5600 and 5700 strike prices in the calls implies the call writing implies the near term resistance while traders are selling the puts at 5300 and 5400 strike prices indicates short term support to the market. The above data indicates that market may trade in the range of 5300-5700 level for the current month. 5500 Strike price which is known as at the money (ATM) in F&O parlance has the implied volatility (IV's) quoting at 16 to 17 levels; one of the low in the current time. IV can also reflect the demand and supply for the option traders.

Whenever IV's will increase more demand is for buying the options either to hedge the portfolio or to bet on the directional view while low Iv's means more supply i.e. selling the options. Low IVs are indicating the trader's activity towards selling the options as nothing is happening in the future segment. Sectorwise activity is seen in media, automobile, cement and infrastructure stocks on weekly basis.

STRATEGY

We recommend to sell Nifty 2 lots each of July 5500 call & put and simultaneously buy 1 lot each of Nifty 5500 June call and put. The strategy will give you maximum profit of premium received if the Nifty will expiry either at 5300 or 5700. It the expiry will be at 5500 then you are having the small loss. Huge losses can start if Nifty will expiry below 5200 and above 5900 which I suppose to be rare. Still small traders should be cautious in this strategy as selling the option is very risky.

STOCK IDEA

Buy ITC June Future above 193 with the stop loss of 188 and the target of 205.

(The author is Senior Analyst-Institutional Derivatives Sushil Financial Services)

Nifty seen flat; Industrial output data watched

NEW DELHI: The 50-share Nifty index is expected to open flat tracking mixed Asian markets on Friday while higher inflation and slowing growth concerns will keep investors at bay.

According to a Reuters POLL, India's industrial output probably rose 5.5 percent in April from a year earlier, moderated by successive interest rate rises which slowed manufacturing growth.

The food price index rose an annual 9.01 percent in week to May 28, government data showed on Thursday, up from 8.06 percent in the previous week.

Markets had a lacklustre day on Thursday even as Nifty slipped a bit and failed to break above it's resistance at 5580.

"Markets continue to trade in a narrow band between 5480 and 5560. Traders must wait and watch for now till Nifty decisively breaks out above 5580 to go long. There is a strong possibility that the Nifty might snap out of this range in the next few sessions", says Kunal Saraogi, CEO, Equityrush.

Metals, cement and auto remains weak whereas telecom, pharma, textiles and select banking stocks look strong, adds Kunal

Investors will closely watch China's import and export numbers to see how the world's second-largest economy is holding up amid government credit curbs.

Wall Street edged higher on Thursday after six days of losses as a narrowed U.S. trade deficit was seen as one positive point for growth but weekly jobless claims edged higher last week echoing fears of slowing economic recovery.

STOCKS TO WATCH

Maruti Suzuki as a strike at India's top car maker's Manesar plant entered its Sixth day on Friday, causing a production loss of 4,200 vehicles.

Shoppers Stop after the company plans to raise prices of private labels by 10-12 percent from July 1.
ENIL and Reliance Broadcast Network Ltd after the government prepares to issue additional radio licences and announce new guidelines for the sector.

Reliance Industries after the company's fuel exports up 15 per cent in May. The rise in demand was led by Jet fuel which tripled in demand for that period.

Tata Motors after India's top car maker faces road block with respect to land acquisition in West Bengal. The government said will return land to farmers. Tata's can build plant at remaining 600 acres of land says Mamta Banerjee.

JSPL after their Coal washery in Chattisgarh came under environment ministry scanner.

Agricultural stocks like Rei Agro, KRBL after government hikes minimum support price for cotton and paddy. Prices for Paddy hiked by Rs 80 while prices for Cotton hikes by Rs 300.

Unity Infra after the company decided to raise Rs 150 crore to cut high cost debt on its books.

India Securities after the Essar Group announced reverse merger of Essar Teleholdings with the company. Essar Teleholdings has a 11 per cent stake in Vodafone Essar.

SUPER HIT PROFIT IN NIFTY RS.24,805/-

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NIFTY MAY MONTH, OUR SUBSCRIBERS PROFIT Rs.24805/-- MINIMUM INVESTMENT AND MAXIMUM PROFIT, that too Safer Profit.

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TARGET ACHIEVED = 16

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STAR  PERFORMER OF THE DAY (JUNE-07) PROFIT :

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Golden Nifty Team.

MAY 2011 PROFIT IN GOLDEN STOCK FUTURE RS.1,11,439/-

DEAR ALL,

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MAY  2011 PERFORMANCE IN GOLDEN STOCK FUTURE RS.1,11,439/-

                                                          

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SUCCESS RATIO --  72%

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MONTHLY PERFORMANCE

DEAR CLIENTS,                             May month our clients profit Rs.2,84,346 /-We assure Above 85 - 90 % accuracy in this package on consistent basis. In this pack includes 100% Tips for Investor. Complete strategy along with targets & SL, calls will be sent to clients ahead, so as to make sure that our clients can execute trade perfectly. All SMS are sent to your mobile with high priority route, hence you will receive sms shortly.   Month Performance: SCHEME PROFIT GOLDEN CASH Rs. 78083 GOLDEN FUTURES Rs. 111439 GOLDEN NIFTY FUTURES Rs. 24805 GOLDEN NIFTY OPTION Rs. 17945 GOLDEN STOCK OPTION Rs. 52074 NET PROFIT Rs.2,84,346 /- 1.    Always utilize cash position only. Don’t go for margin for your safety. 2.    Believe small drops makes big ocean. Small profit makes big wealth creation in future. Don’t be overnight position. 3.    Always book profit in our target. Kindly maintain S/L and trade. Wait until our entry rate comes. If our rate comes, then trade. If our buy rate = 500, trade only when cmp = 500, don’t trade @ 498. 4.    we were sure, our service will be definitely suits you best. Test our service, Only if you feel Satisfied, you can pay Rs. 3000/- per month subscription and get it Continued for a month. Our Web link Address: http://www.goldennifty.com                         Customer Care: 0 8144223652.  Always Happy To Serve You. Regards, Golden Nifty Team.